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1s >>> which is 22-31
2s >>> which is 31-39
3s >>> which is 39-46 and;
4s >>> which is 46 and above.
If you synthesize a weapon with the same synthesis value, then probably you'll there's a big chance that it will end up being the same class. However, if you craft the item in these sequences, you might be able to have greater chances of getting orange items and better yet, the coolest outfit there is today. Here's what I've found out:
1s 1s 1s=2s (40% Chance)
2s 2s 2s=3s (?% chance)
any grey outfit 2s 2s=Blue Outfit
Any blue outfit 3s 3s=Orange outfit
4th hokage is orange so thats how you get him. If you don't get the 4th when you do it and instead get another orange outfit, orange outfit 1s 1s= random other orange outfit.
That should do the trick. I hope this helps you. Goodluck!